Noon Play

I've been thinking of Kansas State  -7 against Miami but this is one of those games were I tend to overthink things so I'm a little worried.

Both teams have issues on defense. Miami has major personnel flaws in their front seven while K-State is trying to shuffle some of their front four.

Both teams can move the ball. KSU should be able to rush for over 250 yards against Miami unless they opt for passing instead and could break the 350-400 yard barrier like Boston College did last year.

Miami too can put points on the board with their running game, led by superstar freshman Duke Johnson and a couple of older guys.

So rather than take the 7 seven points that KSU should cover I'm going for broke and rooting for offense. Give me the Over 57.5 and let's go O!

2 More weekend plays

USC -26 vs. Syracuse (neutral site game in NYC) -- I love the narrative of Barkley and Kiffin showing off for the NY heisman media.  Syracuse D couldnt stop the Northwestern offense.  What are they going to do with Barkley and Co.

Nebraska -5.5 at UCLA Rex Burkhead is ? but they dont need him to roll up on UCLA.  The Bruins arent as bad as last year but they still arent very good. 

Looking ahead to the weekend CFB matchups

One line stands out to me...Penn State +10 at Virginia.  Its a combination of Penn St being bad but not THAT bad and Virginia is way to soft to be laying 10 points of chalk against anyone.  I think Penn St could win outright so I'll take the points.

Kansas St. -7 at home against the Canes in intriguing.  We havent seen KState yet but they were pretty impressive last year.  I think the Canes are a little overvalued.  Duke Johnson is a beast and bailed them out of a pretty lackluster performance. I think this is  a trap with alot of the public siding with the U. 

Early NCAA Plays this week.

Ohio Ice feels strongly about this weeks Thursday and Friday Night Play

Pittsburgh/Cincinnati

If you look at the 4 point line and immediately jump on UC..ask yourself, what do you know about UC?  They have a good coach and a whole new cast of unproven talent.  Will they reload?  Pitt on the other hand got dismantled by a FCS school last week.  Hard to spin it any other way.  They had a number of suspended players back this week and I think they are better than UC.

Pittsburgh +4.  Dont be shocked if Pitt wins outright

Utah/Utah St.

People still havent forgotten Utah St.'s almost shocking upset at Auburn last year.  They even went to a bowl (and lost to Ohio U). But what people might have forgotten is that Utah might be the best team in the Pac 10 not called USC or Oregon.  They are extremely talented and will roll their instate rival

Utah -7

Baylor/SMU

Ball clubs a-la LSU, 'Bama, Ohio State, USC always load up perennially.

And Baylor does?

SMU +7.5

Nice pick Schlitz!

Bama/Michigan

Ask yourselves this question: Can Dennard Robinson throw the pigskin through those slim Crimson Tide windows?

Probably not - which means he has to run...and he is not running against Purdue's defense.

Alabama -13

Grrrrr...

....Boise...

Damned if you do...

Anyway moving on and trying not to feel too down. Lots of BCS vs. Mid-Major matchups at 12 p.m. and to be perfectly honest in a normal week I'd skip them all.

However this is opening week so I'll indulge a little.

Georgia -38.5 over Buffalo: Georgia's defense might be their best in years and I expect Aaron Murray to try to launch his darkhorse Heisman campaign this week. 52-7 is my call.

Pondering Ohio State -25.5 over Miami (Ohio) in Urban's debut but not quite there yet.