Saturday, September 29, 2012

Sunday, September 16, 2012

Sun Nite Football

9ers are defensively as good as last year.

Offensively, significantly better.

9ers -7

NFL 1pm plays

Well, it was a grinding, yet over .500 Saturday. Highlighted by the best 2 picks of the yr in Arkansas +19.5 & SMU +10.

Last night, saw no value in any 1p games until this morning - which goes to show you...one can only have a clear mind. Making decisions with a tired dome, hungry brain or out of desperation spells trouble.

Philadelphia -2.5

The 'Nati -7

Indianapolis +3

This blog sponsored by Gator Realty

Saturday, September 15, 2012

Thursday, September 13, 2012

Thurs Night NFL Chi @ GB

Ok, it does appear degenerate-like to wager on both football games tonight.

The Bears looked ok against the Colts and won by 20.

The Pack got manhandled at home by the stacked 49ers.

So why am I taking GB? Because every week is a different week and I see GB's offense being the difference here.

Green Bay -5

Thurs Night CFB Rutgers at USF

The Young Schlitz Azul is coming into this week at 6-6.

With a big win at Nevada - just feeling USF here. Ballsy pick considering Los Toros are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 thursday night games.

USF -7, bought down 1/2 pt

Monday, September 10, 2012

Bengals / Ravens

Ravens have an aging D. No Terrell Suggs. Ray Lewis is 49 yrs old.

This is Andy Dalton's second campaign - I am betting there will be no soph jinx tonight.

Bengals +7, taking the points, 'Nati can win this game outright.

Broncos/Steelers...

...seeing this game on paper, I wanted no part of it.

This game could be analyzed till one goes paralyzed.

Yet, just before kickoff, it all dawned on me...and it was too late to place a bet.

What dawned on me is that this was a game Peyton circled on the calendar. A game with too much Bronco energy.

These are the games where one has to throw out stats and paper matchups.

Denver could have beat anyone last night.

These thoughts sponsored by Certs.


Sunday, September 9, 2012

4pm game...

...Just not buying Russell Wilson leading the Seahawks like RG3 is doing today.

Skelton has more game experience and does have some nice receivers to throw to.

Arizona +2.5 to win straight up

One 1pm game...

... Chicago -11

I don't expect instant success from Luck - especially against a Chicago defense at home.

Cutler and co will put up some points better than their counterparts.

Chicago by 18

Saturday, September 8, 2012

Wash State's

...defense allowed 200 rushing yards last week vs San Diego St.

Now they travel to Baton Rouge.

Think about it.

LSU -23.5

USC -24.5

Going with the Ice Man.

Close your eyes and listen to the Trojan band playing the tune all day long.

Rocky Start of the season...

...for the young Blue Schlitz, going 2-4 so far.

It's a marathon, not a sprint.

The juices start flowing on gameday, where I get more of a pulse on who I like.

Taking South Carolina -21 today at 12:20p.

All signs point toward east Carolina here. They disposed of App St last week and the G'cocks barely got by Vanderbilt.

Yet every week is a different week.

Friday, September 7, 2012

Noon Play

I've been thinking of Kansas State  -7 against Miami but this is one of those games were I tend to overthink things so I'm a little worried.

Both teams have issues on defense. Miami has major personnel flaws in their front seven while K-State is trying to shuffle some of their front four.

Both teams can move the ball. KSU should be able to rush for over 250 yards against Miami unless they opt for passing instead and could break the 350-400 yard barrier like Boston College did last year.

Miami too can put points on the board with their running game, led by superstar freshman Duke Johnson and a couple of older guys.

So rather than take the 7 seven points that KSU should cover I'm going for broke and rooting for offense. Give me the Over 57.5 and let's go O!

Thursday, September 6, 2012

2 More weekend plays

USC -26 vs. Syracuse (neutral site game in NYC) -- I love the narrative of Barkley and Kiffin showing off for the NY heisman media.  Syracuse D couldnt stop the Northwestern offense.  What are they going to do with Barkley and Co.

Nebraska -5.5 at UCLA Rex Burkhead is ? but they dont need him to roll up on UCLA.  The Bruins arent as bad as last year but they still arent very good. 

Looking ahead to the weekend CFB matchups

One line stands out to me...Penn State +10 at Virginia.  Its a combination of Penn St being bad but not THAT bad and Virginia is way to soft to be laying 10 points of chalk against anyone.  I think Penn St could win outright so I'll take the points.

Kansas St. -7 at home against the Canes in intriguing.  We havent seen KState yet but they were pretty impressive last year.  I think the Canes are a little overvalued.  Duke Johnson is a beast and bailed them out of a pretty lackluster performance. I think this is  a trap with alot of the public siding with the U. 

Wednesday, September 5, 2012

Early NCAA Plays this week.


Ohio Ice feels strongly about this weeks Thursday and Friday Night Play

Pittsburgh/Cincinnati

If you look at the 4 point line and immediately jump on UC..ask yourself, what do you know about UC?  They have a good coach and a whole new cast of unproven talent.  Will they reload?  Pitt on the other hand got dismantled by a FCS school last week.  Hard to spin it any other way.  They had a number of suspended players back this week and I think they are better than UC.

Pittsburgh +4.  Dont be shocked if Pitt wins outright

Utah/Utah St.

People still havent forgotten Utah St.'s almost shocking upset at Auburn last year.  They even went to a bowl (and lost to Ohio U). But what people might have forgotten is that Utah might be the best team in the Pac 10 not called USC or Oregon.  They are extremely talented and will roll their instate rival

Utah -7

Sunday, September 2, 2012

Baylor/SMU

Ball clubs a-la LSU, 'Bama, Ohio State, USC always load up perennially.

And Baylor does?

SMU +7.5

Nice pick Schlitz!

Saturday, September 1, 2012

Bama/Michigan

Ask yourselves this question: Can Dennard Robinson throw the pigskin through those slim Crimson Tide windows?

Probably not - which means he has to run...and he is not running against Purdue's defense.

Alabama -13

Grrrrr...

....Boise...

Damned if you do...

Anyway moving on and trying not to feel too down. Lots of BCS vs. Mid-Major matchups at 12 p.m. and to be perfectly honest in a normal week I'd skip them all.

However this is opening week so I'll indulge a little.

Georgia -38.5 over Buffalo: Georgia's defense might be their best in years and I expect Aaron Murray to try to launch his darkhorse Heisman campaign this week. 52-7 is my call.

Pondering Ohio State -25.5 over Miami (Ohio) in Urban's debut but not quite there yet.