Friday, August 31, 2012

Boise = Damned if you do...

I love watching Boise State.

I hate betting on Boise State.

They are too good to feel confident about betting against them in big games even though they are routinely at a talent and depth disadvantage.

That being said Friday's game against Michigan State is just too good to pass up. The Spartans are a -7 favorite, which according to Ohio Ice has recently moved up from 6.5. This is a total trap line in my opinion. Boise has lost of ton -- most of their front seven on defense, Kellen Moore and Doug Martin on offense.

Michigan State should have their way with Boise State to the tune of 34-17. That being said there will be late money on Boise because people have been burned by the Broncos in the past and the argument of giving Chris Petersen nine months to prep for one game usually works out in his favor.

Don't fall for it.

Period.

Friday, August 10, 2012

CMC Mock Draft NFL Futures Challenge

To build off the massive popularity of the CMC mock draft.  This is the first annual NFL futures challenge.

Ohio Ice's picks are sponsored by Bubble Up (because they have pa-Zazz for that Azz)

Top five picks are highlighted in Green and Red

Cardinals 7 Over  Cards can win 8 games in an easier conference if Kolb can be average
Falcons 9 Over  Tough division but this is the team that I think has the Texans breakout of last year.  If they split with NO they can hit 10
Ravens 10 Under With Pitt and Cincy in conference its not hard to see a 9-7 especially with the way they play down to their competition out of division
Bills 8 Under Not a 9-7 team considering NE should be them twice 
Panthers 7.5 Over  I can see the Panthers at 8-8 if they can impove even slightly on D
Bears 9.5 Under A 9-7 Bears wouldn’t be shocking with 4 games against GB and DET 
Bengals 8 Under Sophomore slump for Dalton  They had a favorable schedule last year and his numbers waned as defenses figured him out
Browns 5 Under This team sucks and they have to play 6 games against Bengals, Ravens, Steelers
Cowboys 8.5 Under Tough call but Philly and NYG seem better bets
Broncos 9 Over  Just cant bet against Manning and an easy division
Lions 9 Under I think they will go 9-7 but have to pick one or the other.  Easier to see 8-8 than 10-6
Packers 12 Over  No reason to think Pack cant win 13 
Texans 10 Over  Tough call 10-6 is about right so I'll go over in with 6 games against Titans, Colts, Jags
Colts 5 Under Rookie QB and depleted roster
Jags 5.5 Over  They could win 6 even though they suck because all the other crappy teams are in their division
Chiefs 8 Under All their weapons back but Eli Manning is in the house along with Phil Rivers
Dolphins 7 Under Dolphins suck…and their division is strong see also Browns,Cleveland 
Vikings 6 Under If Bears, Lions, and Green Bay are strong then Vikings must not win many…see also Browns, Cleveland and Dolphins, Miami
Patriots 12 Over  No reason to think Brady and his newest cast of weapons cant win 13 (they won 14 last year withou Brandon Lloyd)
Saints 10 Under Tough one as 10 is the right number to me. I say under and bet on a Falcons resurgence with all the distractions in New Orleans
Giants 9 Over  They are the Giants…they'll probably suck during the regular season and win 9 games…but I have to pick something!
Jets 8.5 Over  They can win 9 with a little Tebow magic
Raiders 7 Under If you cant see the Oakland raiders at 6-10 then you havent seen the Oakland Raiders
Eagles 10.5 Over  This is another breakout team if Vick can stay healthy.  11 wins for the best team on paper is doable
Steelers 10 Over  Never bet against the Steelers in anything except a hot cheerleader competition
Chargers 9 Over  Denver and SD in a dog fight with KC and Oak sniffing jockstraps
49ers 10 Over  Super easy conference with one of the best D in football. 
Seahawks 7 Under These guys kinda suck unless Matt Flynn is the real deal.  They have holes all over the roster
Rams 6 Over  The Rams made some moves in the offseason, their conference is soft, and we have forgotten about last year. 
Buccaneers 6 Under They brought in some weapons but they have a very stiff schedule
Titans 7 Over  Easiest conference in football gifts them 8-8 or 9-7 like last year
Redskins 6.5 Under They could win 7 but Dallas, NYG, and Philly are all better than them.  They would be the best 6-10 team in the league…but it could happen